Probability · Algebra · Conjecture

Gaussian moments conjecture

If every positive power of a complex polynomial has zero Gaussian expectation, must its products with any fixed polynomial eventually have zero expectation?

DisprovedOpenMath assessment · Oct 13, 2026

Earlier version 4 of this page. View current →

Overview

Known

Long’s quartic witness refutes the universal statement in three variables, hence in every higher dimension. Dimension one is proved in the original source; dimension two remains a related open question.

Latest

Precise statement

For n independent standard real Gaussian variables X, let P and Q belong to ℂ[x₁,…,xₙ]. The hypothesis is E[P(X)^m] = 0 for every integer m ≥ 1. The proposed conclusion is: for each Q there is a threshold M, allowed to depend on Q, such that E[Q(X)P(X)^m] = 0 for every m ≥ M. Complex coefficients are essential; these are ordinary powers, not absolute moments.

Definitions

Pure and mixed moments
A pure moment is E[P(X)^m]; a mixed moment here is E[Q(X)P(X)^m]. These are ordinary complex powers, not absolute-value moments.

Question paraphrased by OpenMath. Original wording is available in the sources.

Landscape

Figures and explorable examples. Selecting a statement opens its exact wording.

Check the witness

Exact Gaussian expectations: every pure moment E[P₃m] is 0, while the mixed moment E[Z P₃m] equals m! and never vanishes.

mE[P₃^m]E[Z P₃^m]m!
1011!
2022!
3063!
40244!
501205!
607206!
7050407!
80403208!

Eight orders computed exactly; the identity for every m is the cited theorem. Nothing here bears on two variables, which remain open.

Visual setup

Zero pure moments do not force mixed moments to vanish

The three-variable witness has mixed moments m!, although every positive pure moment is zero.

Reading boundary. The table samples an exact identity from the paper. These four values alone do not establish the infinite sequence.

Zero pure moments do not force mixed moments to vanishA table lists orders one through four: pure moments 0,0,0,0 and mixed moments 1,2,6,24. A dimension summary distinguishes the proved one-variable case, unresolved two-variable case and counterexamples from three onward.Pure moments versus mixed momentsOrder mE[P₃ᵐ]E[Z P₃ᵐ]1012023064024Dimension n1 proved · 2 open · ≥3 refuted

Select a statement for the polynomial, quantifiers and cited proof.

Text version

A table lists orders one through four: pure moments 0,0,0,0 and mixed moments 1,2,6,24. A dimension summary distinguishes the proved one-variable case, unresolved two-variable case and counterexamples from three onward.

Independent standard real Gaussian coordinates; complex polynomial coefficients. The displayed mixed moment uses Q₃ = Z.

  1. Inspect the explicit polynomial and identity

    Proved

    A quartic witness in three real variables

    Total degree four in three real coordinates. Ignoring extra coordinates gives failure for every n ≥ 3.

    A quartic witness in three real variables →

  2. Inspect the two-variable question

    Open

    The remaining two-variable question

    This restriction is unresolved in Long’s dimension discussion.

    The remaining two-variable question →

Sources & review

Authored by OpenMath source curation on 2026-10-13 (AI-assisted curation). Independent review of this visual explanation is pending; linked assertions and relationships have their own assessments.

Results

The question 1

Counterexamples 1

  • Proved
    A quartic witness in three real variables

    Total degree four in three real coordinates.

    Long 2026

Special cases 1

  • Proved
    The one-variable case

    The original paper proves GMC(1); it is compatible with higher-dimensional counterexamples.

    Derksen et al. 2015

Conditional implications 2

  • Proved
    The global implication to polynomial inversion

    This is a one-way implication. Refuting the Gaussian premise does not logically refute the Jacobian conclusion; the small Gaussian witnesses are not themselves Keller maps.

    Derksen et al. 2015
  • Proved
    The same witness works in every higher dimension

    Additional independent coordinates do not change these expectations.

    Long 2026

Supporting results 1

  • Proved
    A cubic witness in four real variables

    A different witness: degree three with four real coordinates.

    Long 2026

Variants and analogues 1

Constructions · 2

Connections

Consequences 1

Assuming A quartic witness in three real variablesProved

  • The same witness works in every higher dimension

    Under stated assumptions

    If complex polynomials P,Q in three independent standard real Gaussian variables satisfy E[P^m] = 0 and E[QP^m] = m! for every positive integer m, then for every n ≥ 3 these polynomials, independent of the extra coordinates, refute the Gaussian Moments Conjecture in n variables.

    Limit Additional independent coordinates do not change these expectations. This extension leaves the two-variable case untouched and by itself gives no conclusion about the Jacobian conjecture.

    Sources & review

    Source-grounded explanation · independent explanation review: pending.

Approaches

How the problem is attacked, and what each line of attack cannot yet reach.

Read the coefficient identity, not just sample moments

For either witness and its distinguished coordinate Z, the source derives E[A(Z)P^m] = m! [z^m] A(z)(1+z)^(m−1). Taking A = 1 or A = z gives the two headline identities.

Cannot yet reach A few moment values illustrate the mechanism; the coefficient identity establishes all positive orders.

Sources & review

Supporting statements

Source-grounded explanation · independent explanation review: pending.

Timeline

  1. Two explicit polynomial witnessesRelated result

    Long publishes the cubic four-variable and quartic three-variable constructions.

    Publication date records the source; the paper describes discovery order without providing separate calendar dates.

  2. Gaussian vanishing and polynomial inversionFoundation

    Derksen, van den Essen and Zhao formulate the conjecture and prove its one-variable case.

    Their implication to the Jacobian conjecture is global, rather than an equivalence in matching dimensions.

Full history with sources →

Evidence

Evidence by kind
Literature

2 preprints

Status OpenMath assessment · Oct 13, 2026.

Formal

None linked

Reported in sources: No formal proof project for these explicit Gaussian identities was located in the selected primary sources. Independent mathematical assessment is pending.

Computation

2 explicit witnesses

Review

Not yet reviewed

OpenMath assessment: Long’s quartic witness refutes the universal statement in three variables, hence in every higher dimension. Dimension one is proved in the original source; dimension two remains a related open question.

Source comparison and reader curation; independent mathematical assessment remains pending.

OpenMath pilot collection · OpenMath source curation · assessed Oct 13, 2026 · review due Jan 13, 2027

Collection last checked Oct 13, 2026.

Sources

Choose a starting point below. Each result links to its exact statement, cited passages and checks.

Start here

Bibliography 2

Research activity · 1 entry

Selected literature; source observations and coverage limits are retained in the publication details.

Contributors

Long is the human author. ChatGPT 5.6 Sol Pro and Claude Fable 5 receive distinct, self-reported witness-discovery credits; Derksen, van den Essen and Zhao supplied the original question and reduction.

Authors & roles

Small Counterexamples to the Gaussian Moments Conjecture →

Christopher D. Long

Long credits ChatGPT 5.6 Sol Pro with the four-variable polynomial, Claude Fable 5 with the three-variable reduction and checks, and ChatGPT with editing. Long is the paper’s author and responsible for its mathematical claims.

These are source credits; they do not imply OpenMath accounts, endorsements or independent mathematical review.

Record details
Record version
4
Classification
MSC2020 60E15 / 14R15
Prerequisite level
undergraduate
Source observations & version history →